What are your Oscar predictions?

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by kholmes, Feb 22, 2007.

  1. kholmes

    kholmes New Member

    Here's a link with the nominations:


    Let's just do the first seven:

    1. Best picture
    2. Best actor
    3. Best actress
    4. Best supporting actor
    5. Best supporting actress
    6. Best director
    7. Best original screenplay

    The winner gets their foot imprinted in the sidewalk on the Walk of Fame near Graumann's Chinese Theater.
  2. mezombie

    mezombie Member


    Well, out of the Oscar contenders in these categories, I've only seen The Queen, Volver, Notes on a Scandal, and Little Children. But I have seen the trailers of most of the others and have watched the Golden Globe and other award ceremonies. Based on that and some guesswork, here are my predictions:

    1. Best Picture: The Queen

    2. Best Actor: Forest Whitaker

    3. Best Actress: Helen Mirren

    4. Best Supporting Actor: Jackie Earle Haley

    5. Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Hudson

    6. Best Director: Stephen Frears

    7. Best Original Screenplay: The Queen

    The winner gets their foot imprinted on the Walk of Fame? Does this come with an all-expense paid trip out there? And will Rockgor put the winner up? LOL!
  3. kholmes

    kholmes New Member

    We watched The Departed last weekend and are watching Babel this weekend. Both are out on DVD. Usually, I go into the Oscars not seeing any of the films, which is frustrating. Oh, I also saw Half Nelson a while back.

    Grand prize includes an all-expense paid trip to LA, accomodations at the Beverly Hills Hotel, and dinner at Rockgor's house.

  4. Callum

    Callum New Member

    I was so off on my Globe picks, I don't know why I'm bothering, but I'm usually much better with the Oscars:

    Best Picture: Okay, I know how many people criticized last years batch as week, but I think this is a much weaker year. I was underwhelmed by a lot of these films (didn't mean I didn't like them, but) The Queen was the most pleasant surprise for me, and Little Miss Sunshine was just delightful, but best picture?

    I think this will go to "Babel" for the same reason "Crash" won last year. "Little Miss Sunshine" could pull a huge upset, as could "Letters from Iwo Jima", or the "Departed" could ride on Martin Scorsese's coattails, but I doubt it (look at Brokeback/Ang Lee last year.

    Prediction: Babel
    Personal Choice: The Queen (Flawlessly executed in every manner) Then again, it was a simple film...

    2. Best Actor: Two person race - Forrest Whitaker and Peter O'Toole. It's criminal that O'Toole has not won, but I think he will be 0-8. This is Whitaker's to lose. His work is amazing in this film, his body of work is impressive, and he's darn well liked.

    Prediction & Choice: Forrest Whitaker

    3. Best Actress: Helen Mirren. End of subject. Too bad that Kate Winslet's wonderfully understated work will once again be overlooked, and that Meryl will yet again be passed over (can you believe she hasn't won since 1981! Think of the movies she's lost for: Silkwood, Out of Africa, Bridges of Madison County, Ironweed... It's disgusting she's only won two) But Mirren was just sublime.

    Prediction & Choice: Helen Mirren

    4. Best Supporting Actor: Harder to choose. Alan Arkin is another actor who has been overlooked for too many years. Jackie Earle Haley was brilliant in "Little Children" and Djimon Hounsou is always great. And Mark Wahlberg held his own against Nicholson! But I think it will go to Eddie Murphy in the career-reviving "Dreamgirls"

    Prediction: Eddie Murphy
    Personal Choice: Jackie Earle Haley

    5. Adriana Barraza and Rinko Kikuchi both took my breath away in "Babel", Cate Blanchett ties Kate Winslet as the best actress of their generation, and Abigail Breslin was delightful in "Little Miss Sunshine", but she doesn't really belong in this field. Jennifer Hudson made me forget Jennifer Holiday when singing "I'm not going", not an easy task. But am I the only one who noticed that she was only good when singing? Her acting outside of that was wooden. This was not a film debut by a singer of the magnitude of Streisand or Diana Ross. But that one number blew everyone away, and she's won just about everything under the sun so far (and she's from Chicago!!!!) so...

    Prediction: Jennifer Hudson
    Personal Choice: Rinko Kikuchi

    6. Best Director If Scorsese doesn't win this, there will be rioting in the Kodak Theatre.

    Prediction and Choice: Scorcese

    7. Best Original Screenplay - This is tough. How can the best picture not win the screenplay category it's in? But I think that is what will happen. I believe that it is between "The Queen" and "Little Miss Sunshine" (for those who want it to win something.) I think "Pan's Labyrinth" could be a spoiler, too, but I'm sure that will win best foreign film.

    Prediction and Choice: The Queen

    There you go, Ken. Just for you - as promised.


  5. mezombie

    mezombie Member

    Ooooh, you sweetened the deal! I've never been to Beverly Hills! Great choice of hotel!. BTW, does Rockgor know about the dinner invite? Better yet, does Gordon (who'll be doing the cooking)? LOL

    Although methinks Callum's expertise may blow my guesses out of the water...
  6. Callum

    Callum New Member

    I was promised the "booby prize" of a weekend at Rock & Gordon's for flubbing the Golden Globe predictions, and I'm still waiting! Gary and I drove around California for three days looking for their place. It would help if we had an address...


    [This Message was Edited on 02/23/2007]
  7. mezombie

    mezombie Member

    Ah, so that's the catch!
  8. kholmes

    kholmes New Member

    You'll have to ask Rockgor about your booby prize! As far as where he lives, I would look for a bridge game somewhere in the environs of Silver Lake.

    Very well thought out predictions. We're watching Babel tonight, so I'll post my predictions tomorrow.
    I loved Little Miss Sunshine and The Departed, but I can't see either of them as best picture of the year. It's hard to believe Peter O'Toole has never won best actor, isn't it? Lawrence of Arabia? My Favorite Year? The Lion in Winter?

  9. Callum

    Callum New Member

    I look forward to reading your predictions!

    It IS amazing he hasn't won - just "Lawrence of Arabia" and "Beckett" are enough for any career. But when you think:

    -Brando didn't win for "Streetcar"
    -Burton didn't win for "Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf"
    -Lemmon didn't win for "Days of Wine and Roses"
    -Fonda didn't win for "Grapes of Wrath"
    -Garland didn't win for "A Star Is Born"
    -Hitchcock didn't win for "Rear Window"
    -Peter Sellers didn't win for "Dr. Strangelove"
    -Angela Lansbury didn't win for "The Manchurian Candidate"
    -Katherine Hepburn won four, including the questionable "Morning Glory" and "On Golden Pond", and yet didn't win for her best work, "Long Day's Journey"

    Was Cher actually better in "Moonstruck" than Meryl Streep was in "Out of Africa" Was Helen Hunt really better in "As Good As It Gets" than Judi Dench in "Mrs. Brown"? I love Maggie Smith, but was she really better in "Prime of Miss Jane Brodie" than Jane Fonda was in "They Shoot Horses, Don't They?" Was Roberto Benigni really better than Ian McKellen in "Gods and Monsters"?

    Why haven't you and Rock been nominated for best original screenplay?

  10. mrdad

    mrdad New Member

    My prediction for BEST ACTOR will be a relative (until

    now) unknown write in candidate, JUDGE SEIDLIN of Florida

    for his role in "The Last Act of Anna Nicole". He will

    give a short speech within the allowable time but more

    than appropriate self-aggradizement.

    You heard it here first!!

    My Tux is ready for the Party.

  11. kholmes

    kholmes New Member

    Very funny, Joe, btw!

    Best picture: Babel
    Best director: Alexandro Gonzales Inirritu, Babel
    Best actor: Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
    Best actress: Helen Mirren, The Queen
    Best supporting actor: Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
    Best supporting actress: Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
    Best original screenplay: The Queen

    Looks almost the same as Callum's, except for Best Director.
    [This Message was Edited on 02/24/2007]
  12. Lendy5

    Lendy5 New Member

    Fun Post!

    1. Best Picture - The Departed

    2. Best Actor - Will Smith in The Pursuit of Happyness

    3. Best Actress - Meryl Streep in The Devil wears Prada

    4. Best Supporting Actor - Mark Wahlberg in The Departed

    5. Best Supporting Actress - Abigail Breslin in Little Miss Sunshine

    6. Best Director - Martin Scorsese in The Departed

    7. Best Original Screenplay - Little Miss Sunshine
  13. kholmes

    kholmes New Member

    Here are the number we each guessed correctly.

    Mezombie: 3
    Callum: 4
    Me: 3
    Carolin: 3
    Twinofdar: 3

    Some good surprises last night. It was really neat to see the look on Scorsese's face after Coppola, Lucas, and Spielberg announced best picture at the end.

    Some nice awards for Little Miss Sunshine, probably my favorite film of the year.

    I also enjoyed Al Gore's victory and his pretending to announce his candidacy, Ellen's talks with Scorsese and Eastwood, and the incredible dance group that made the shapes with their shadow.

  14. Callum

    Callum New Member

    Weren't those shadow dancers amazing? I was also glad to see Forrest Whitaker give such an articulate speech, after his horrendous speeches and the Globes and SAG. I liked Ellen, but I have to say that, in her first outfit, I couldn't stop thinking of Shirley Jones in the Partridge Family...

    Who was that obnoxious guy backstage they kept cutting to? Cut him out, and the show would have been under 3.5 hours!
  15. kholmes

    kholmes New Member

    Not sure, but I think Rock lives somewhere near where the old cowboy star, Tom Mix, used to live. The Ivanhoe reservoir is in that part of LA, too, as is the location where DW Griffith's massive Babylon set was for his silent epic, Intolerance. You'll have to ask Rock and Gordon what their serving.

    I agree with you about Ellen's Shirley Jones look and the lame shots of the guy backstage! But there was a great shot of Scorsese peering out from stage right after they announced Best Picture.

    Forest Whittaker's speech was articulate and moving. I felt a bit badly for Peter O'Toole, but I suppose an Oscar isn't everything. Maybe it isn't too late for old Peter.

    I honestly don't know how the shadow dancer did it. They were amazing, especially in forming the shape of a gun and then firing a bullet.

    What was wrong with Clint Eastwood? Was he drunk? Or is he just getting old?


    [This Message was Edited on 02/26/2007]
  16. Callum

    Callum New Member

    He's had that trouble speaking for a while, and he thought he could memorize the speech, and vainly left his reading glasses off-stage for the presentation. It might be age, or maybe CFS/Fibro fog, or maybe he's on pain medication, but it seems to be struggling to find the right word. I don't think it's a substance abuse problem at all. I mean, he still was with it enough to translate Italian! Is there nothing the man can't do?

    I made the joke about Ellen's first outfit, and it DID remind me of Shirley Jones, but Shirley was beautiful, and Ellen looked great, I thought! Remember how absurd she looked in a dress when she hosted the Grammys for the first time? She almost looked like a man in drag.

    That's an awful distance to collect the prize - perhaps Rock and Gordon can come out to Chicago to make the dinner? Great weather out here! Most of the snow missed us - just a bunch of slush.

    I felt bad for Peter O'Toole as well, but he really didn't deserve it for this movie - it would have just been a sympathy vote, and not fair to Forrest, who gave a career-topping performance.

  17. rockgor

    rockgor Well-Known Member

    in the movies and the oscars decades ago.

    I live on the hazy boundry of Silverlake and Echo Park. Don't know where Tom Mix used to live. But every square foot of LA, like Washington D.C., is historic.

    Every street you drive down is where a movie was shot, or a celebrity. Where a studio was located; where a drunken star crashed a car. Where Alfalfa or William Desmond Taylor was murdered. Where Ammie Semple McPherson or Robert Schuller took up a collection.

    I guess the last time I was in Chicago was in the 60s. I hear it still has the same crooked politicians and brutal cops, just a little more polished. Kinda like here, I guess.

    I read that Greer Garson holds the record for the longest Oscar speech. Guess Sally Fields has it for the most inane.

    Drop by any time guys. You don't need to bring your own booze, but bring a chair. We only have one in the living room. It's the folding kind that goes w/ a card table.


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